How to Fill Out Your 2019 March Madness Bracket

David Glidden
3 min readMar 19, 2019
Will you pick the tournament champion correctly this year?

The 2020 tournament was canceled, but check out what might have been using my simulation. Follow me and subscribe to get my bracket delivered directly to your inbox each year once ready.

Author’s note: The tournament has ended! For the second year in a row, my model picked the winner correctly, even if it did require a bit of late-game heroics by UVA throughout the tournament to be crowned champions. My more adventurous suggestions of Michigan State over Duke and dark horses Auburn and Oregon weren’t too bad either.

Last year I shared the in-depth method I used to fill out my NCAA basketball tournament bracket using the optimal mathematical strategy. It worked out well for me — I correctly picked the tournament winner and ranked in the 94th percentile among the 17.3 million brackets in ESPN’s Tournament Challenge pool. More importantly, I bested most of my friends and family for a year of bragging rights 🙂. In this post, I’ve applied the same mathematical methodology to this year’s 2019 March Madness bracket — feel free to copy it verbatim or simply use it as a foundation as you fill out your bracket.

The Mathematically Optimal 2019 Bracket

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David Glidden
David Glidden

Written by David Glidden

In the District of Columbia with @egbarnett. Ops at @TheoremOne.